Two little Pols had too little quals
Each had a spin machine
Gaily they talked each campaign day
Orators both of course
One little pol then had a mishap
Broke off his interview date
Wept for his quals then cried with joy
As his spin doctor said
Did you think I would leave you waning
When there’s a dead cat bounce to do
Climb up here Boris and don’t be crying
I can fix it with a surrogate or two
When they grow up they’ll both be pols
And their stalking horses will not be toys
And I wonder if we’ll remember
When they were four surrogate goys
Short months had passed,” Brino” came so fast
Cowardly they swerved to stay
Electorate roared loud, but in the
woke crowd cheering not dismay
Up goes a shout, Junker dashes out
Out from the shadows blue
Gallops away to where Jezzer lay
Then came a voice he knew
Did you think I would let you Lexit
When there’s Grooming left to do
Climb up here Jezz, I will show you
What the 4th Reich will do
Did you say, Junker, I’m all a-tremble
Perhaps it’s the media’s noise
But I think it’s that I remember
When we were two little Pols
Do you think I would let you Brexit
Theres no democracy for you
Climb up here Bozz, I will show you
Back to the Nazi ranks so blue
Can you feel Bozz, I’m all a tremble
Perhaps it’s the battle’s noise
But I think it’s that I remember
When we were into little boys.
Do You see what it is Yet?
coming into the last quarter of the race and awaiting the televised manicured sound bite
programme, featuring Jeremy Corbyn and Boris Johnson This evening why would I make illusion to Rolf Harris and His catchphrase, Do you see what it is yet?
Do You see what it is Yet?
I spent yesterday figuring a way to Graph the Leadership approval figures of the 3 main Party leaders from 2010 to 2019, I had noticed that Ed Miliband had been extraordinarily Un Popular and wanted to see how true the Claims were that Jeremy Corbyn was the most unpopular Labour leader ever.
My Graphing exercise is still ongoing but here is my tabulated raw data are taken from Wikipedia.
The Data is extensive but informative The Most Unpopular leader in this period is Clegg with 65 % Then Corbyn who Hit -60% in September This Year beating Milliband’s – 56% from November 2014, see
“Crosby Says”. Below!
| Nick Clegg[edit] | |||||||
| The following polls asked about voters’ opinions on Nick Clegg, Leader of the Liberal Democrats and Deputy Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. |
2014[edit]
| 29–30 May | YouGov | Well/Badly[a] | 13% | 78% | N/A | 9% | –65% |
| Jeremy Corbyn[edit] |
|
|||||||||||||
| The following polls asked about voters’ opinions on Jeremy Corbyn, Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition. | ||||||||||||||
| Jeremy Corbyn, Leader of the Opposition and Leader of the Labour Party | ||||||||||||||
| 2019[edit] | ||||||||||||||
| 13–16 Sep | Ipsos MORI | 1006 | Satisfied/Dissatisfied[b] | 16% | 76% | N/A | 8% | –60% |
| Ed Miliband[edit] | |||||||
| The following polls asked about voters’ opinions on Ed Miliband, Leader of the Labour Party. |
2014[edit]
| 27-28 Nov | YouGov | Well/Badly[a] | 17% | 73% | N/A | 9% | –56% |
The Raw Data I am currently Crunching into an analysis comparing, Quals, Quants and Media Events and Media Narratives may appear before Polling Day, but I can not promise that as I have other pressing business priorities at the moment. Positive approval of any leader has been very rare in the period and I think I have spotted some interesting correlations as to Media coverage and Timing of electoral events. My main interest is to see how strong the Election Bias Rules Purdha period effect is. But anyone who thinks that the Media effect of The Murdoch Press, BBC and Mainstream broadcasters is still not a hugely important factor and of course that of Google and Facebook twinger censorship weighting this time around, simply has not been paying attention.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1DJ-S5Ke51QKronfJ4Uokn-K_cRkiZ-u1BqvZsBj5Sns/edit?usp=sharing
For Now, though remember The Quals Lead the Quants.
Can we believe the Quals based on the Anti Semite spinology against Corbyn,have the public seen through it? don’t bet against the public and the British sense of fairplay. The Spinology against Milliband by Crosby is explained in the following Video.
Crosby Says.
first time we picked that up was in
06:19November of 2014 when in discussions in06:26focus groups people said Ed Miliband’s a06:29very weak man if the SNP do really well06:32and he relies on them to govern they06:36will push him around who knows what we
06:39
would get and that was from the word
So remember the Revolution will not be televised, although the electorate may be terrorised.
THE BIGGER THE LIE – Media Bias in the Scottish Independence Referendum
#HangtheParliament #FederatethePound #Corbyn4PM
Limbering Up the Political Maths, #LordAshcrostPolls #WikipediaGraffs. Let the Analysis Begin!!! #TwoFingers2Brino @wiki_ballot #4Pamphleteers @GrubStreetJorno @Survation @wiki_ballot @financialeyes #WIKIBALLOTPICK #IABATO #SAM #GE2019 Roger Lewis ( Porthos) @Joe Blob20
Democracy Unfolded, the emergent reality of Brexit. ( A Poem, By Roger G Lewis ) #GrubStreetJournal #Brexit #Poem
Survation and Survey Monkey Called it in 2015. (Too close to Call) Turnout Is Everything.
TURN OUT IS KEY. ELECTION 2017. HIGH TURNOUT AND LABOUR WINS!!! #VOTELABOUR #DRIVEAFREINDTOTHEPOLLINGPLACE
Opinion polling for the United Kingdom general election, 2015
Opinion polling for the United Kingdom general election, 2017
TURN OUT IS KEY. ELECTION 2017. HIGH TURNOUT AND LABOUR WINS!!! #VOTELABOUR #DRIVEAFREINDTOTHEPOLLINGPLACE
Link To Lord Ashcroft Polling.
This Graph Explains the Importance of Turnout to the outcome of the Election Tomorrow.
If Turnout is the 72.2% of the Brexit Referendum last year you can see that the Light Blue line shows That the middle third of the probability distribution curve on Ashcroft’s polling numbers has a Tory Majority of between 20 and 60 seats.
The 2015 turnout was 66.1 % overall. around the same as 1997 general election less than the 77% for the 92 vote. Historically the 1950 and 51 elections had over 80% turnouts.
How not to interpret opinion polls
General election campaigns provoke a lot of attention and criticism of opinion polls. Some of that is sensible and well-informed… and some of it is not. This is about the latter – a response to some of the more common criticisms that I see on social media. Polling methodology is not necessarily easy to understand and, given many people only take an interest in it at around election time, most people have no good reason to know much about it. This will hopefully address some of the more common misapprehensions (or in those cases where they aren’t entirely wrong, add some useful context).
This Twitter poll has 20,000 responses, TEN TIMES BIGGER than so-called professional polls!
And the Gang of Four from the Brexit Pary?
yes crimestop thought crime doublethink because CO2
#ThoughtCrime #DoubleSpeak #DoublePlusGood #ConquestofDough
RogerGLewis@PMotelsMaybe https://youtu.be/R_EFcCcBLPg yes crimestop thought crime doublethink because CO2https://longhairedmusings.wordpress.com/2019/06/25/vaclav-klaus-eussr-is-a-soviet-construct-oligarchical-collectivism-hooverinstitute-makeorwellfictionagain-conquestofdough/ … … … #ThoughtCrime #DoubleSpeak #DoublePlusGood #ConquestofDough
Vaclav Klaus, EUssr is a Soviet Construct. Oligarchical Collectivism. #HooverInstitute #MakeOrwel…
longhairedmusings.wordpress.com
Transcript A. Neil gauntlet to Boris Johnson
so here we go one to be done Boris
55:07
Johnson the prime minister
55:09
we have been asking him for weeks now to
55:11
give us a date of time a venue as of now
55:15
none has been forthcoming no broadcaster
55:18
can compel a politician to be
55:19
interviewed but leaders interviews have
55:21
been a key part of the BBC’s primetime
55:24
election coverage for decades we do them
55:26
on your behalf to scrutinize and hold
55:29
to account those who would govern us
55:31
that is democracy
55:33
we always proceeded in good faith that
55:35
the leaders would participate in every
55:38
election they have all of them it is not
55:42
too late we have an interview prepared
55:45
oven ready as mr. Johnson Likes to say
on the
55:48
theme running through our questions is
55:49
trust and Why so many times in his
55:52
career in politics and journalism
55:54
critics and sometimes even those close
55:56
to him have deemed him to be untrustworthy
55:59
it is of course relevant to what he is
56:02
promising as all now
How can he be trusted
56:05
1.
to deliver 50,000 more nurses and almost
56:08
20,000 in his numbers are already
56:10
working for the NHS
2.
he promises 40 new
56:14
hospitals it only six are scheduled to
56:16
be built by 2025 can he be believed when
56:20
he claims another 34 will be built in
56:22
the five years after
56:27
3.
can you be trusted to fund the NHS
56:29
properly when he uses the cash figure of
56:32
an extra thirty four billion pounds
56:34
after inflation the additional money
56:36
promised a month to 20 billion
4.
He claims
56:40
that the NHS will not be on the table in
56:42
any trade talks with America but then he
56:44
vowed to the DUP his unionist allies in
56:47
Northern Ireland that there would never
56:49
be a border down the Irish Sea
56:51
that is as important to the DUP as the
56:54
NHS is to the rest of us
it is about his
56:57
brexit deal which seemed to break
5.
now he
57:00
tells us he’s always been an opponent of
57:02
austerity we would ask him for evidence
57:05
of that we would want to know why an
57:07
opponent of austerity would make so much
57:10
of it into their future spending plans
57:12
6.
we would ask why as with the proposed
57:15
increase in police numbers so many of
57:17
his promises only take us back to the
57:19
future back to where we were before
57:22
austerity began
7.
Social Care is an issue
57:25
of growing concern in the steps of
57:27
Downing Street in July he said he’d
57:28
prepared a plan for Social Care we’d
57:32
asked him why that plan is not in the manifesto?
8.
questions of
57:36
trust questions we’d like to put to mr.
57:39
Johnson so you can hear his replies but
57:43
we can’t because he won’t sit down with
57:45
us there is no law no Supreme Court
57:47
ruling that can force mr. Johnson to
57:49
participate in bbc leaders interview
57:52
the prime minister of our nation will at
57:55
times have to stand up to president
57:58
Trump and Putin and President Z of China
58:01
so we’re surely not expecting too much
58:04
and that he spent half an hour standing up to
58:07
me